Why it matters: price vs. a 14-day average separates short-term momentum from daily noise. If price holds above the average, trend pressure is constructive; losing it says momentum is cooling.
Why it matters: volume shows conviction behind price moves. Rising price on weak volume is less trustworthy than rising price with broad participation.
The first YouTube pass analyzed mostly AI automation/business videos, not the dedicated Bitcoin macro stack yet. The useful lesson: valuable tools sell when they explain decisions, show measurable ROI, and avoid pretending noisy signals are certainty.
Separate price action, macro liquidity, node-verifiable on-chain facts, and vendor-derived metrics. The goal is cycle context — accumulation, neutral, overheated, risk-off — not day-trading calls.
Next research loop focuses on Checkmate/Checkonchain, Ben Cowen, What Bitcoin Did, Michael Howell, Ed Dowd, Neil Howe, and Buffett principles. Metrics to master: MVRV, SOPR, Puell, Pi Cycle, HODL waves, realized price, and fee pressure.